Likely 2024 Electoral Map. 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections.